GSAC Analytics

Nodar Kharshiladze: Now everything depends on the ability of the opposition to defend their votes and agree

Nodar Kharshiladze: Now everything depends on the ability of the opposition to defend their votes and agree

The data of the exit poll of Edison Research has yet to be adjusted, because more than half of the respondents refused to answer, and these people were unlikely to vote for power.
Several days ago, Kobakhidze drew an exit poll for Imedi. It looks like everything will be like in 2016, when the ruling party loudly announced its victory, and then their results began to shrink like shagreen skin. The declared 53% by a slight movement of the hand, that is, by counting, turned into 38%, an error of 15%. I wonder if the dream will break this anti-error record.

Therefore, the main question now is whether the opposition will be able to defend its votes and what violations the Georgian Dream is ready to commit. In addition to numbers, there is external legitimacy, on which a lot depends, including the well-being of members of the Georgian Dream. Despite the premature celebration, Georgian Dream is unlikely to be able to form a government with such results. so now everything depends on the ability of the opposition to defend their votes and agree.

Нодар Харшиладзе, (Nodar Kharshiladze) Georgian Strategic Analysis Center