GSAC Аналитика

Pessimists, revolutionaries and others

Pessimists, revolutionaries and others

picture by Zviad Mtchedlishvili

Today, everyone draws for themselves possible scenarios for the development of events and acts on this basis. So, let’s try to figure out what we have with us:

  1. Contemplators (the ones who don’t give a damn) are those who believe that nothing will change and cannot change, therefore it is absolutely pointless to do anything. In this logic, it makes no sense to express your protest, to have an active civic position, and so on. The extreme form of contemplation is the refusal to go to the polls, which, however, does not exclude lengthy comments on political topics in social networks
  2. Fatalists (pessimists) are those who believe that it is possible to act (it is possible, but not necessary), but the result of these actions, although it will be, is clearly not now. The time will come and everything will change, but not now. Well, almost like in a conversation between the burgomaster and his son from Schwarz’s “Dragon” – can Lancelot defeat the dragon? The answer is maybe, but not now, and not a dragon, and not Lancelot.
  3. Legitimists (optimists) – the argumentation of this group is as follows, since the government violated the law, it is necessary to collect all the evidence and present it to the public, international organizations and embassies of partner countries. The protests are needed only to win over to their side those who are able to put pressure on the authorities and personally on BI. This category firmly believes that for those representatives of the Western elites who are involved in Georgia, democratic institutions in our country are not an empty phrase.
  4. Revolutionaries (passionaries) – let’s make a reservation right away, not everyone who supports the revolutionary scenario is ready to personally participate in it. Moreover, those who are ready to stand on the barricades are no more than 10% of those who believe that there should be a revolution. As a rule, those who support this scenario rely on the experience of November 2003 and want to repeat it.

We are not talking about loyalists here, everything is clear with them. It is clear that there are also intermediate groups, many migrate from one group to another, depending on the course of events. I think no one will argue with the fact that the representatives of the first group constitute the majority. But history is not driven by the majority, but by an active minority, otherwise nothing would have changed.

Gela Vasadze, GSAC