GSAC Analytics

Tornike Sharashenidze: Military actions in Karabakh will end before Biden enters the White House

Tornike Sharashenidze: Military actions in Karabakh will end before Biden enters the White House

It is very important that Biden and his administration will not waste time trying to understand what is happening in foreign policy in general and in the region in particular. It is clear that America is such a large country that many are not interested in what is happening in the world. To this was added internal polarization, unrest, BLM, so that the Americans clearly had no time for foreign policy.

We remember Clinton well, who took almost two years to figure it out; we remember what happened in the State Department before the arrival of Pompeo. And even now, for more than a month, military operations have been going on in Karabakh, and all this time there has been practically no reaction from overseas. Only a month and a half later, there was a meeting between the foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia with Secretary of State Pompeo, and this meeting was a good indicator of how the States left the region and lost interest in it. I think that there is a very high probability that the hostilities in Karabakh will end before Biden enters the White House and his administration begins to work in the full sense of the word.

Now one thing is clear, the balance in the region has already changed, the role of Turkey and Azerbaijan has increased, the role of Russia has objectively decreased. So it will be very interesting to see what policy the United States will have in the Caucasus region in the new realities.


Tornike Sharashenidze, GSAC